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對于期望值的考量在不利因素極為糟糕的情況下也適用。例如,即使你患癌癥的幾率很低,當你有疑似癥狀的時候,做一下檢查來確認還是很值得的。 Thinking about expected value also applies when the downside is terrible. For example, even if the probability of your having cancer is low, it might pay to get yourself tested when you have a symptom just to make sure. |
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